Declining trust in American institutions is at a “historically low” level, according to a Gallup survey from 2024. Today’s learners and workers demand stronger, more credible proof before placing their faith in new ideas.
Against this backdrop, efforts to promote career advancement and mobility based on skills rather than traditional credentials are gaining traction—but they remain a relatively unproven approach, one that both excites and unnerves those seeking stability in an uncertain world. And no matter how innovative, the skills-first world still needs to be adapted to work within the legacy systems, like education and employment, that are increasingly untrusted.
While the field buzzes with enthusiasm for the potential of skills-first solutions, excitement alone doesn’t translate into trust. Valuing an idea is one thing; believing in its ability to work is another. And right now, people remain unconvinced. According to research from Jobs for the Future (JFF), key consumer groups, such as students, jobseekers, educators, employers, and policymakers, still have unanswered questions: Can these approaches be effectively adapted to local contexts? Are they cost-effective? Do they protect privacy and avoid exploitation?
So, what lessons does the decline in trust in legacy systems hold for the skills-first movement? Take higher education, where consumers point to the misalignment of college with the economy, and the burden of excessive costs and student debt. These criticisms are widely held, but even so, research reveals that many learners and employers still see value in degrees and maintain favorable views of most colleges and universities, especially community colleges. While as a whole the system of higher education may be mistrusted, institutions that are better able to demonstrate their value resist this trend. The lesson is clear: the skills movement must prove its economic value by focusing on the things consumers want most: low costs, job opportunities, and wealth generation. This means demonstrating long-term career impact while avoiding cost inflation and overly close ties to expensive and underperforming college programs.
The erosion of trust in corporate America offers another key parallel for the skills ecosystem. Historically, trust in corporations has reflected overall economic health: when wealth is broadly shared, trust increases; when it is concentrated at the top, mistrust deepens. And for companies themselves products and services are most trusted when they have a clear positive impact on the company’s bottom line. For the skills movement, both lessons are important to heed: trust relies on unequivocal evidence that skills-first companies are more efficient and more profitable than traditional companies, but not at the expense of workers. This means transparency in outcomes, enabling comparisons across products, and ensuring that the benefits of a skills-first agenda extend beyond those already advantaged by degree-based systems. To build trust, skills solutions must prioritize broadly accessible economic outcomes and avoid association with exploitative or exclusive practices.
With this context in mind, JFF interviewed 40 practitioners, business leaders, technology entrepreneurs, academic experts, and policymakers to better understand the dynamics of trust within the skills marketplace. The findings from these interviews are summarized below.